February 09 - Alan Wilkinson
February 11, 2009

At the February meeting, Mr. Alan Wilkinson reviewed some of the problem areas of
the 2008 financial markets and give his projected prognosis for 2009. He presented
some graphics that showed that the average housing price was still above its long
term relationship to average household income, predicting that prices would still
need to come down some. He showed a graphic on bear markets that showed
historically the bottom would be 22 months after the start. Thus predicting that the
present markets would decline more before reaching bottom. He gave all of us
some advice: (1) Know what your pain threshold is. (2) Identify the trigger that each
of us would use to get back into the market. (3 ) Assure that you have identified
someone in the financial industry that can help your spouse should you not be
available. His presentation was well received.